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Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2025 (max)

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Opis indeksu

Bank of Russia’s medium-term forecast following the Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting on 24 October 2025. Key forecast parameters of the Bank of Russia’s baseline scenario. Given that from January 1st to October 26th 2025 the key rate averaged 19.8%, from October 27th to the end of 2025 the average key rate forecast range is 16.4–16.5%.

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Indeks podgrupy

Indeks Ostatnia wartość Data
Current account Goods Imports Forecast from CBR 2025 298 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Current account Services Imports Forecast from CBR 2025 92 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2024 80 USD/BBL 2024-10-25
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2025 80 USD/BBL 2024-10-25
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2026 75 USD/BBL 2024-10-25
Brent oil price, average for the year Forecast from CBR 2027 70 USD/BBL 2024-10-25
Change in reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2024 -14 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Change in reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2025 -24 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Claims on households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 13,5 % 2024-10-25
Claims on households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 2,5 % 2025-10-24
Claims on households, including mortgage loans in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 9,5 % 2024-10-25
Claims on households, including mortgage loans in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 4,5 % 2025-10-24
Claims on organisations and households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 16,5 % 2024-10-25
Claims on organisations and households in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 9,5 % 2025-10-24
Claims on organisations in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 18,5 % 2024-10-25
Claims on organisations in rubles and foreign currency growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 11,5 % 2025-10-24
Current account Forecast from CBR 2024 61 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current account Forecast from CBR 2025 38 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Current account Goods Exports Forecast from CBR 2024 422 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current account Goods Exports Forecast from CBR 2025 414 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Current account Goods Forecast from CBR 2024 133 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current account Goods Forecast from CBR 2025 116 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Current account Goods Imports Forecast from CBR 2024 289 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current account Primary and secondary income balance Forecast from CBR 2024 -34 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current account Primary and secondary income balance Forecast from CBR 2025 -32 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Current account Services Exports Forecast from CBR 2024 42 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current account Services Exports Forecast from CBR 2025 47 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Current account Services Forecast from CBR 2024 -38 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current account Services Forecast from CBR 2025 -45 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Current account Services Imports Forecast from CBR 2024 80 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current and capital accounts balance Forecast from CBR 2024 61 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Current and capital accounts balance Forecast from CBR 2025 38 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Exports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 -1 % 2024-10-25
Exports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 -2 % 2025-10-24
Final consumption expenditure householdsgrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 5 % 2024-10-25
Final consumption expenditure householdsgrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 1,5 % 2025-10-24
Final consumption expendituregrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 4 % 2024-10-25
Final consumption expendituregrowth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 1,5 % 2025-10-24
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2024 78 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2025 51 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net acquisition of financial assets, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2024 58 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net acquisition of financial assets, excluding reserve assets Forecast from CBR 2025 52 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net incurrence of liabilities Forecast from CBR 2024 -20 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Financial account balance, excluding reserve assets Net incurrence of liabilities Forecast from CBR 2025 1 USD Billion 2025-10-24
GDP % change Q4 – Q4 previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 2,5 % 2024-10-25
GDP % change Q4 – Q4 previous year previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 0 % 2025-10-24
GDP growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 3,75 % 2024-10-25
GDP growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 0,75 % 2025-10-24
Gross capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 4,5 % 2024-10-25
Gross capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 0 % 2025-10-24
Gross s fixed capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 7 % 2024-10-25
Gross s fixed capital formation growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 2 % 2025-10-24
Imports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 -2 % 2024-10-25
Imports growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 -1 % 2025-10-24
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2024 8,25 % 2024-10-25
Inflation, as % in December year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2025 6,75 % 2025-10-24
Inflation, average for the year, as % year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2024 8,3 % 2024-10-25
Inflation, average for the year, as % year-on-year Forecast from CBR 2025 8,85 % 2025-10-24
Key rate, average for the year, % per annum Forecast from CBR 2024 17,5 % 2024-10-25
Key rate, average for the year, % per annum Forecast from CBR 2025 19,2 % 2025-10-24
Money supply in national definition growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2024 18,5 % 2024-10-25
Money supply in national definition growth as % of previous year Forecast from CBR 2025 8,5 % 2025-10-24
Net errors and omissions Forecast from CBR 2024 4 USD Billion 2024-10-25
Net errors and omissions Forecast from CBR 2025 -11 USD Billion 2025-10-24
Oil price for tax purposes Forecast from CBR 2025 58 USD/BBL 2025-10-24
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2022 (max) 10,6 % 2022-10-28
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2022 (min) 10,6 % 2022-10-28
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2023 (max) 15,2 % 2023-10-27
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2023 (min) 15 % 2023-10-27
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2024 (max) 17,5 % 2024-10-25
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2024 (min) 17,5 % 2024-10-25
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2025 (max) 19,2 % 2025-10-24
Russia Key rate of CBR Forecast from CBR 2025 (min) 19,2 % 2025-10-24
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