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Cbonds.Global

Archiwum konsensus-prognoz
 

Cbonds Consensus, Russia 2013 

The poll was held on 15.09.2013-01.10.2013, Number of respondents: 19. Publication date: 09.10.2013
World economyŚrednia prognozaMedianaActual
  Global GDP, %
2.542.72
  US GDP, %
1.831.831.6
  Eurozone GDP, %
-0.06-0.25-0.5
  Consumer Prices (CPI, USA) (year-to-date), %
1.521.61.47
  Consumer Prices (CPI, Eurozone) (year-to-date), %
1.41.51.3
  Ropa naftowa Brent
106.75107108.2
  Złoto (USD/uncja, Londyn)
135213531327
  S&P 500
168617251680
  EUR/USD
1.321.321.35
Russian economyŚrednia prognozaMedianaActual
  Real GDP Indicator (YoY, Quarterly), %
1.861.831.6
  Industrial production, %
0.710.60.1
  Inflacja roczna (CPI, Rosja), %
6.126.14.5
  Unemployment, %
5.485.455.2
  Current account, % of GDP
2.642.52.4
  Trade balance, % of GDP
8.398.158
  Budget deficit, % of GDP
-0.57-0.50.5
  Real disposable income, %
3.633.752.1
  Capex, %
0.660.60.5
  Foreign capital inflow/ outflow, % of GDP
3.173.22.5
  Gross external debt, $ billion
705710720
  Exchange reserves, $ billion
517516522
  USD/RUB
32.5332.6532.34
  EUR/RUB
42.8942.843.8
  Kosz biwalutowy/RUB
37.2637.3537.43
  RTSI
149315001422
Key interest rates, %Średnia prognozaMedianaActual
  Stopa Fed, %
0.190.190.25
  Stopa EBC, %
0.480.50.5
  Stopa refinansowa BC FR, %
8.138.258.25
  Stopa depoz., 1 dzień, %
4.584.54.5
  3M LIBOR USD
0.270.250.25
  3M EURIBOR
0.250.220.23
  MOSPRIME 3M
6.436.56.82
  NDF USD/RUB 1Y mid
6.116.16.25
Benchmark yield, %Średnia prognozaMedianaActual
  UST 10Y YTM
2.772.82.64
  Bund 10Y YTM
1.881.91.78
  Russia-2030 YTM, %
4.063.954.05
  OFZ YTM 3Y, %
6.196.256.34
  OFZ YTM 5Y, %
6.676.66.72
  Muni YTM (3Y), %
7.9887.79
  Domestic corporate bonds (1st tier), YTM (3Y), %
7.787.88.04
  Domestic corporate bonds (2nd tier), YTM (2Y), %
8.0788
  Domestic corporate bonds (3d tier), YTM (1Y), %
10.3310.2510
 
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