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  • Alfa Bank
  • E.Gavrilenkov and A.Kudrin
  • Goldman Sachs Asset Management
  • Promsvyazbank
  • Raiffeisen Bank
  • Region BC
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  • Sberbank CIB
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Source Research
18 luty 2019
Erste Group CEE Market Insights
DNB ASA Daily Macro Brief
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
Hong Leong Bank Fixed Income Daily Market Snapshot
Hong Leong Bank Daily Market Watch
OCBC Daily Treasury Outlook
Maybank Daily Research
15 luty 2019
Alfa-Bank Ukraine Latest developments in Ukraine (15 Feb 2019)
Janney Fixed Income Daily Market Commentary
Raiffeisen Bank Aval Focus Ukraine (January 2019)
Erste Group Week ahead | Eurozone – Interest rates, yields, inflation and Spain
Erste Group CZ Instant Comment: GDP growth positively surprised in 4Q
Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry Undersecretariat of Treasury Update on Turkish Economy
DNB ASA Daily Macro Brief
ROSBANK Café et Croissant. Russian Daily
OCBC Asian Credit Daily
OCBC Daily Treasury Outlook
Hong Leong Bank Weekly Market Highlights
Hong Leong Bank Fixed Income Daily Market Snapshot
Hong Leong Bank Daily Market Watch
14 luty 2019
Janney Fixed Income Daily Market Commentary
E.Gavrilenkov and A.Kudrin Forecasting Russia: Lost in Uncertainty
Description
Last week Rosstat published quite unexpected statistics on Russia’s economic performance in 2018 which even exceeded a rather optimistic estimate of the 2018 GDP growth released few days earlier by the Economics ministry. The 2.3% real GDP growth indicated by Rosstat came as a big surprise. A much better reported performance in 2018 still leaves unanswered the question about the 2019 growth trajectory – it is not clear if the economy is decelerating, accelerating or just drifting sideways. The CBR did not change its growth outlook for this year and expects the economy to expand 1.2-1.7%. The impact of increased VAT on inflation was limited in January as inflation reached just 1.0% m-o-m and fell to a more usual 0.1% w-o-w in the past three weeks, while the CBR expected the effect to last longer. Even though it is likely that the Russian inflation will decelerate faster than the CBR anticipates and may fall below 4.5% already by year-end, the regulator, lost in overall uncertainty, will remain cautious with regard to key policy rate cuts this year, which will not come until autumn (other factors being equal). FX interventions stipulated by the fiscal rule will continue to offset the high policy rate, which will enable the economy to muddle through.
OCBC Asian Credit Daily
Hong Leong Bank Fixed Income Daily Market Snapshot
Hong Leong Bank Daily Market Watch
Finance Ministry of Ukraine Ukraine: Investor meetings (January 2019)
Erste Group Credit Markets Weekly | Trend towards narrower spreads sustainably broken?
Erste Group Poland: Economy expanded 4.9% y/y in 4Q18
Republic of Turkey Prime Ministry Undersecretariat of Treasury Update on Turkish Economy
DNB ASA Daily Macro Brief
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